A powerful storm system brewing in the Pacific is forecast to bring heavy rainfall to the states of Michoacán, Colima, and Jalisco, jeopardizing the region’s lucrative lemon and avocado crops.
The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development (SADER) has warned that the production areas for Hass avocados and Persian lemons are situated directly in the path of the heaviest rainfall, which is expected to range from 50 to 75 millimeters. Producers in Peribán and Tancítaro estimate that prolonged rain exceeding 60 millimeters can lead to premature fruit drop, reducing export-quality crops.
Last year’s similar event resulted in losses of 18% and a financial blow of over 440 million pesos. To mitigate the risk of anthracnose, the Inter-American Institute for Cooperation on Agriculture recommends applying contact fungicides during brief dry windows.
The road network is also under threat, with Federal Roads and Bridges warning of possible landslides that could shut down sections of the Siglo XXI Highway, including the Santa Casilda-Cuatro Caminos section. The National Guard has advised tourist bus operators to use alternate routes when heading to the Colima coast.
Meanwhile, the ports of Manzanillo and Lázaro Cárdenas remain operational, but authorities are monitoring waves that could reach 1.5 meters if a low-pressure system intensifies moisture flow from Oaxaca.
Avocado exporters are preparing logistical adjustments to avoid delays in refrigerated shipments, while the Tropical Fruit Packers Association warns that each 24-hour delay increases the risk of loss of freshness by 7%. The storm coincides with peak lemon harvest season, which supplies summer demand in the United States. With the dollar at a record-high 19.23 pesos, producers are under pressure to minimize losses.
The College of Postgraduates recommends implementing temporary covers and improving surface drainage in orchards, as well as increasing sanitary pruning after rain to promote air circulation and reduce indoor humidity.
As the storm system moves westward on Monday, SADER forecasts that rainfall will gradually decrease. However, authorities urge continued vigilance until the evening weather forecast is issued at 6:00 p.m.
Source: Debate
