Nuevo León is the state that contributes the most money to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), with 10.1% and is home to the safest city in the country: San Pedro Garza García, so its inhabitants believe that the entity could sustain itself and become independent from Mexico.
Over the years, there have been several serious attempts and proposals to separate the state from Mexico, it even has its own flag, designed in 1940; however, could Nuevo León really sustain itself as an independent country?
To answer this question, it is necessary to consider many factors and make several assumptions about national and international legislation, so Artificial Intelligence was asked what would happen to Nuevo León if it really became independent from Mexico and below is its perception of the panorama.
According to Artificial Intelligence, Nuevo León could not sustain itself as an independent country, because although it has a solid economy, secession would entail enormous political, economic, territorial and diplomatic challenges that would require extensive negotiations with Mexico, so there would be an uncertain outlook in key areas.
The first difficulty pointed out by AI is that Nuevo León would have to define and establish its own form of government, state institutions and legislation.
Likewise, AI points out that disputes could arise with Mexico over the sovereignty of some hypothetical border areas, and the departure of elements of the National Guard and the Mexican National Army would even have to be negotiated.
Within the scenario proposed by AI, it is noted that the part of the federal public debt that Nuevo León would have to assume would have to be negotiated with Mexico.
Another aspect to consider is that Nuevo León would need to establish its own border controls and immigration surveillance bodies to and from Mexico. This would generate new barriers and procedures for the transit of people and goods.
Economic Factors
Nuevo León has a significant contribution to the national GDP, its economy is diversified and industrialized, which could give it a certain self-sufficiency initially; however, by separating it would lose access to the Mexican internal market.
By not having a coastline, Nuevo León would depend on ports in other states or countries for its foreign trade with the costs that this implies.
Mexico could impose high tariffs on Nuevo León products as it is a foreign country, making it difficult to access the Mexican market.
Nuevo León would have to negotiate its entry or establish new trade agreements such as the T-MEC, initially losing the benefits of the agreements signed by Mexico.
In addition, the new country would need to establish its own currency and a central bank to manage monetary and exchange policy, so the banking and financial system would have to be completely restructured.
All tax, tariff and commercial regulatory legislation would have to be created from scratch for Nuevo León as an independent country.
Political and Legal Factors
The Mexican Constitution does not contemplate the secession of states, so the process would lack a clear legal framework at the national level.
At the international level, there are no established mechanisms for the recognition of new states that arise from unilateral secession.
Likewise, it would be very difficult for Nuevo León to obtain the recognition of the majority of countries, since it is a de facto secession not agreed upon with Mexico. It should be noted that organizations such as the UN require compliance with certain requirements to endorse new sovereign states.
Regarding social and cultural factors, the IA points out that although Nuevo León has a marked regional identity, the breaking of the link with the Mexican nation could generate divisions and question internal social cohesion.
Source: infobae
