This week marked five months since the outbreak of the war between Los Chapitos and La Mayiza; the victims of the clashes vary depending on the sources consulted; some experts speak of alliances, losers and winners; the authorities boast of seizures and captures of “big fish” who end up being “charales”. The truth is that the violence continues, the Sinaloa Cartel no longer exists as we know it and its main rival, the Jalisco Nueva Generación Cartel (CJNG) is waiting for the right moment to enter the battle.
In an interview with Infobae Mexico, journalist David Saucedo, an expert on security issues, analyzes the role of the CJNG in the drug war that is taking place in Sinaloa – although it has already spread to regions of Sonora, Baja California and Durango – and the moment in which it could take sides with one of the two factions: Chapitos or Mayiza.
In recent months, there has been a rumor of an alleged alliance between Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar, leader of Los Chapitos, and Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes, top leader of the CJNG. There was even a rumor on social media about the alleged shield that the alliance would carry.
However, David Saucedo emphasizes that “there is no data to confirm this alliance,” and both criminal groups (Sinaloa and Jalisco) continue to maintain confrontations in regions of Chiapas, Aguascalientes, Zacatecas, Nayarit and Baja California.
Saucedo adds that if the CJNG had already taken part in the conflict between Chapitos and Mayiza, one of the two factions of the Sinaloa Cartel would already have the advantage in the war, which has not happened, because although there are daily confrontations and deaths, the casualties are on both sides.
“I get the impression that the CJNG is waiting for there to be more wear and tear between Los Chapitos and La Mayiza to later enter the battle; but for the moment I cannot perceive an alliance as such with La Chapiza.”
The analyst compares the strategy of El Mencho with that of the United States in World War II: “Waiting for Germany and Japan to wear themselves out in order to leave the side of the allies and end up as the great winner.”
David Saucedo highlights that if the CJNG were to enter the war at this time and its intervention were to tip the balance in favor of -for example- Los Chapitos, both would end up equally powerful; however, if it waits for more wear and tear, its criminal group would consolidate itself as the largest, richest and with the greatest presence in the territory.
Those who speak of the alliance between the CJNG and Los Chapitos -journalist José Luis Montenegro among them- warn that this criminal pact could lead to a national drug pax; a mega cartel in the style of the Guadalajara Cartel or La Federación that controlled the routes for drug trafficking, imposed prices, bribes and taxes on those who operated in its plazas; however, when these were broken, violence broke out causing a cartel war that to this day we continue to count its dead.
Source: infobae
